Match Lyon vs Auxerre April 25, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 3.60 — +6.2% better than the market.

Lyon holds a clear quality edge over Auxerre, boosted by a solid home defensive record and a sharper attack against Auxerre's less robust defense. Lyon's recent form shows home momentum, while Auxerre's draws suggest a cautious approach. Expect Lyon to control the pace with a compact block and set-piece threat, aiming to capitalize on Auxerre's defensive vulnerabilities.

Home defensive solidity vs away offensive struggles
Recent form favors Lyon's attacking rhythm
Likely moderate tempo with Lyon pressing advantage

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 3.60 ✗ Lost

AI 29% Implied 28% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LYO 4-2-3-1 · AUX 4-2-3-1

LYO · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · AUX

77 Yaremchuk ⚽

Subs used · LYO

34'

Tessmann ↑ ·

Mangala ↓

58'

Tolisso ↑ ·

Merah ↓

58'

Sulc ↑ ·

Morton ↓

77'

Tagliafico ↑ ·

Yaremchuk ↓

77'

Kluivert ↑ ·

Endrick ↓

Subs used · AUX

59'

Sy ↑ ·

Senaya ↓

59'

Akpa ↑ ·

Oppegard ↓

75'

Casimir ↑ ·

Sinayoko ↓

75'

Ahamada ↑ ·

Faivre ↓

75'

Mara ↑ ·

Namaso ↓

📊 Statistics

LYO 3 – 2 AUX

55%

Possession (%)

45%

2.18

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.81

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

18 · 3 – 2

R. Yaremchuk

Assist · Abner Vinicius · 1–0

⚽

19'

T. Tessmann ↓ · O. Mangala ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

34'

35'

⚽

S. Diomande

1–1

Half-time · 1 – 1

52'

▮

Danny Namaso

Yellow Card

C. Tolisso ↓ · K. Merah ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

58'

P. Sulc ↓ · T. Morton ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

58'

59'

⇄

L. Sy ↓ · M. Senaya ↑

Substitution 1

59'

⇄

C. Akpa ↓ · F. Oppegard ↑

Substitution 2

C. Tolisso

Assist · A. Maitland-Niles · 2–1

⚽

66'

R. Yaremchuk

Assist · C. Tolisso · 3–1

⚽

71'

75'

⇄

J. Casimir ↓ · L. Sinayoko ↑

Substitution 3

75'

⇄

N. Ahamada ↓ · R. Faivre ↑

Substitution 4

75'

⇄

S. Mara ↓ · D. Namaso ↑

Substitution 5

N. Tagliafico ↓ · R. Yaremchuk ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

77'

R. Kluivert ↓ · Endrick ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

77'

84'

▮

Gideon Mensah

Yellow Card

88'

⚽

B. Okoh

Assist · S. Diomande · 3–2

Ruben Kluivert

Yellow Card

▮

89'

Full-time · 3 – 2

Match recap

Lyon beat Auxerre 3–2 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.18 to 0.81. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: R. Yaremchuk (19'), S. Diomande (35'), C. Tolisso (66'), R. Yaremchuk (71'), B. Okoh (88').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.67 units (Brier 0.177).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.93	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.67	—	63%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
BTTS No	1.90	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.89	—	45%	Cashed	+0.89	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.83	—	47%	Cashed	+0.83	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.15	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.60	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.17	—	86%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.20	—	25%	Cashed	+2.20	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.24	—	63%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.00	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.33	—	75%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	91%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.28	—	71%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Draw	3.85	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.00	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.70	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.67u	−22% ROI