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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Lyon — Lorient

Match Lyon vs Lorient April 12, 2026 — Result and Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lyon
Lyon
Home · last 5 W W W L L
Kick-off
Sun 12 Apr · 18:45
2:0
Full-time
Lorient
Lorient
W L D W L Away · last 5
Groupama Stadium · Décines-Charpieu Referee Benoît Bastien, France
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 63% · book 1.77 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 51% · book 1.97 ✓
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 49% · book 1.97 ✗
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
1.14 – 1.93
Δ −0.79
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.77 — +10.7% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 1.77 ✓ Cashed
AI 63% Implied 57% +0.77u
+77%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LYO 4-1-4-1 · LOR 3-4-2-1
LYO · 4-1-4-1 3-4-2-1 · LOR 1 Greif 34 Kango 22 Mata 19 Niakhaté 16 Vinícius 23 Morton 18 Ghezzal 98 Maitland-Niles 99 Nartey 17 Moreira 77 Yaremchuk ⚽ 38 Mvogo 5 Meïté 32 Adjei 25 Faye 11 Bris 62 Ebong 8 Cadiou 43 Kouassi 17 Makengo 10 Pagis 12 Dieng
Subs used · LYO
46' Tolisso ↑ · Ghezzal ↓
46' Endrick ↑ · Kango ↓
46' Mangala ↑ · Nartey ↓
82' Tessmann ↑ · Morton ↓
86' Kluivert ↑ · Yaremchuk ↓
Subs used · LOR
23' Katseris ↑ · Le Bris ↓
73' Tosin ↑ · Makengo ↓
73' Yongwa ↑ · Kouassi ↓
80' Soumano ↑ · Dieng ↓

📊 Statistics

LYO 2 – 0 LOR
52%
Possession (%)
48%
1.14
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.93
11
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
6
4
Shots off Target
6
8
Shots Inside Box
8
4
Corner Kicks
6
0
Offsides
2
17
Fouls
14
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
4
Yellow Cards
1
7
Goalkeeper Saves
3

⏱ Match events

16 · 2 – 0
23'
⇄
P. Katseris ↓ · T. Le Bris ↑
Substitution 1
Ainsley Maitland-Niles
Yellow Card
▮
45+1'
Half-time · 0 – 0
C. Tolisso ↓ · R. Ghezzal ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
Endrick ↓ · S. Kango ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
46'
O. Mangala ↓ · N. Nartey ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
46'
R. Yaremchuk
Assist · Endrick · 1–0
⚽
49'
C. Tolisso
2–0
⚽
56'
73'
⇄
A. Tosin ↓ · J. Makengo ↑
Substitution 2
73'
⇄
D. Yongwa ↓ · A. Kouassi ↑
Substitution 3
80'
⇄
S. Soumano ↓ · B. Dieng ↑
Substitution 4
Tyler Morton
Yellow Card
▮
81'
Endrick
Yellow Card
▮
81'
T. Tessmann ↓ · T. Morton ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
82'
R. Kluivert ↓ · R. Yaremchuk ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
86'
88'
▮
Bamo Meïté
Yellow Card
Afonso Moreira
Yellow Card
▮
90+1'
Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Lyon beat Lorient 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.93 to 1.14. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: R. Yaremchuk (49'), C. Tolisso (56').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.11 units (Brier 0.107).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.77 — 63% Cashed +0.77 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.97 — 51% Cashed +0.97 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.97 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.91 — 50% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.91 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.18 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.21 — 86% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.30 — 63% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.37 — 73% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.75 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 — 92% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.30 — 74% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Draw 4.01 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.40 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.00 — 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.25 — 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.76 — 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.11u −30% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
LYO – LOR @ 1.77
+10.7%
Edge
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