🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward both teams to score — 58% probability.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
With limited recent form and strength data, this Ligue 1 opener at Allianz Riviera leans on home familiarity and a balanced pace suggested by odds near even for over/under 2.5 goals. Nice may hold a slight edge from playing at home, where their compact block and set-piece threat could challenge Lorient's defense. Expect a cautious start with signs of open play as both sides seek to establish rhythm early in the season.
- Home momentum from venue advantage
- Balanced attacking and defensive outlook
- Moderate goal environment hinted by market odds
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 44% | Nice win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 53% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 58% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 69% | 1X |
- 1X2 Nice win 44%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53%
- BTTS Yes 58%
- Double Chance 1X 69%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Nice
W/D/L
1-3-1
Goals (for / against)
6 / 4
Avg goals / match
2.0
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-2-0
Away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
xG (for / against)
1.17 / 0.85
Lorient
W/D/L
2-1-2
Goals (for / against)
10 / 7
Avg goals / match
3.4
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Away (W-D-L)
1-1-0
xG (for / against)
1.55 / 1.42
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Nice wins when scoring first
50%
①
Lorient wins when scoring first
50%
⚽
Nice BTTS rate · last 10
60%
⚽
Lorient BTTS rate · last 10
50%
↑
Nice Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
↑
Lorient Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
↩
Nice comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Lorient comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Nice · last 10 at home
0–15
8%
16–30
0%
31–45
8%
46–60
25%
61–75
25%
76–90
33%
Lorient · last 10 away
0–15
13%
16–30
7%
31–45
7%
46–60
0%
61–75
13%
76–90
60%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.