Match Lyon vs Nice February 15, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.68 — +8.2% better than the market.

Lyon arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a perfect recent run and a clear quality edge over Nice. Their potent attack faces a defense that has struggled, suggesting Lyon's pressing and set-piece threat could dominate. The home side's compact block and superior form hint at control, while the odds suggest a moderately open game with chances for goals.

Home attacking edge vs away defense
Superior recent form and confidence
Likely tempo favors Lyon’s proactive style

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.68 ✓ Cashed

AI 64% Implied 60% +0.68u

+68%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LYO 3-4-2-1 · NIC 4-2-3-1

LYO · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · NIC

10 Šulc

Subs used · LYO

66'

Merah ↑ ·

Tolisso ↓

81'

Yaremchuk ↑ ·

Sulc ↓

90+1'

Kamara ↑ ·

Maitland-Niles ↓

Subs used · NIC

Boudache ↑ ·

Wahi ↓

74'

Kevin ↑ ·

Cho ↓

75'

Bah ↑ ·

Dante ↓

75'

Boudaoui ↑ ·

Louchet ↓

83'

Jansson ↑ ·

Sanson ↓

📊 Statistics

LYO 2 – 0 NIC

57%

Possession (%)

43%

1.32

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.26

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

89%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

14 · 2 – 0

⇄

K. Boudache ↓ · E. Wahi ↑

Substitution 1

21'

▮

Morgan Sanson

Yellow Card

C. Tolisso

Assist · P. Sulc · 1–0

⚽

45'

Ainsley Maitland-Niles

Yellow Card

▮

45+4'

Half-time · 1 – 0

Tanner Tessmann

Yellow Card

▮

52'

N. Nartey

2–0

⚽

64'

K. Merah ↓ · C. Tolisso ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

66'

74'

⇄

Kevin ↓ · M. Cho ↑

Substitution 2

75'

⇄

J. Bah ↓ · Dante ↑

Substitution 3

75'

⇄

H. Boudaoui ↓ · T. Louchet ↑

Substitution 4

R. Yaremchuk ↓ · P. Sulc ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

81'

83'

⇄

I. Jansson ↓ · M. Sanson ↑

Substitution 5

Abner Vinícius

Yellow Card

▮

87'

N. Kamara ↓ · A. Maitland-Niles ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

90+1'

Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Lyon beat Nice 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 5. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: C. Tolisso (45'), N. Nartey (64').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.80 units (Brier 0.112).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.68	—	64%	Cashed	+0.68	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.20	—	47%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
BTTS No	2.13	—	47%	Cashed	+1.13	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.80	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.78	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.42	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.18	—	87%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.47	—	69%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.90	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.25	—	64%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.33	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	93%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Under 0.5	14.40	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.24	—	77%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Draw	4.23	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.50	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.25	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.80u	−28% ROI