Match Lens vs Nice December 14, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.54 — +5.4% better than the market.

Lens arrive with strong home momentum, boasting a solid form and a clear quality edge over Nice. Their attacking prowess faces a less resilient Nice defense, while their own defense should comfortably handle Nice's modest offensive threat. The home side's pressing edge and recent consistency suggest they will control the pace in a match likely to see multiple goal opportunities.

Lens' home strength and form advantage
Nice's defensive vulnerabilities against Lens' attack
Likely open game with chances for both sides

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.54 ✓ Cashed

AI 68% Implied 65% +0.54u

+54%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LEN 3-4-2-1 · NIC 4-3-3

LEN · 3-4-2-1 4-3-3 · NIC

11 Édouard ⚽

Subs used · LEN

78'

Sotoca ↑ ·

Said ↓

78'

Guilavogui ↑ ·

Thauvin ↓

86'

Fofana ↑ ·

Edouard ↓

90+3'

Bulatovic ↑ ·

Thomasson ↓

Subs used · NIC

46'

Kevin ↑ ·

Vanhoutte ↓

70'

Abdi ↑ ·

Peprah ↓

70'

Abdul Samed ↑ ·

Boudaoui ↓

70'

Ndombele ↑ ·

Sanson ↓

70'

Gouveia ↑ ·

Jansson ↓

📊 Statistics

LEN 2 – 0 NIC

46%

Possession (%)

54%

1.11

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.80

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

13 · 2 – 0

10'

▮

Hicham Boudaoui

Yellow Card

O. Edouard

Assist · M. Udol · 1–0

⚽

15'

Half-time · 1 – 0

46'

⇄

Kevin ↓ · C. Vanhoutte ↑

Substitution 1

O. Edouard

Assist · M. Udol · 2–0

⚽

57'

70'

⇄

A. Abdi ↓ · K. Peprah ↑

Substitution 2

70'

⇄

S. Abdul Samed ↓ · H. Boudaoui ↑

Substitution 3

70'

⇄

T. Ndombele ↓ · M. Sanson ↑

Substitution 4

70'

⇄

T. Gouveia ↓ · I. Jansson ↑

Substitution 5

F. Sotoca ↓ · W. Said ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

78'

M. Guilavogui ↓ · F. Thauvin ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

78'

83'

▮

Salis Abdul Samed

Yellow Card

R. Fofana ↓ · O. Edouard ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

86'

A. Bulatovic ↓ · A. Thomasson ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90+3'

Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Lens beat Nice 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 8, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 5 to 2.

On the scoresheet: O. Edouard (15'), O. Edouard (57').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.23 units (Brier 0.131).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.35	—	43%	Cashed	+1.35	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.69	—	59%	Cashed	+0.69	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.38	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.63	—	37%	Cashed	+1.63	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.67	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.76	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.54	—	68%	Cashed	+0.54	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.14	—	89%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.55	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.20	—	68%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.04	—	95%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.18	—	83%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.75	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.71	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	18.50	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	6.66	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.97	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.23u	−25% ROI