Match Lens vs Lorient November 2, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 2.80 — +11.7% better than the market.

Lens carry clear home momentum with a solid recent run and a notable quality edge over Lorient. Their defensive resilience combined with a potent attack suggests they can control the game tempo at Stade Bollaert-Delelis. Lorient’s struggles on the road and defensive vulnerabilities may be exposed, especially given Lens’ pressing edge and set-piece threat.

Home side’s form and quality advantage
Lens’ defensive solidity vs Lorient’s attack
Likely open game with over 2.5 goals possible

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5

Over 3.5 @ 2.80 ✗ Lost

AI 40% Implied 36% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LEN 3-4-2-1 · LOR 3-4-2-1

LEN · 3-4-2-1 3-4-2-1 · LOR

11 Édouard ⚽

Subs used · LEN

59'

Bulatovic ↑ ·

Sangare ↓

71'

Guilavogui ↑ ·

Thauvin ↓

71'

Fofana ↑ ·

Edouard ↓

82'

Abdulhamid ↑ ·

Aguilar ↓

82'

Sotoca ↑ ·

Said ↓

Subs used · LOR

65'

Cadiou ↑ ·

Avom ↓

65'

Pagis ↑ ·

Bamba ↓

75'

Mvuka Mugisha ↑ ·

Le Bris ↓

75'

Soumano ↑ ·

Tosin ↓

82'

Makengo ↑ ·

Karim ↓

📊 Statistics

LEN 3 – 0 LOR

58%

Possession (%)

42%

1.80

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.00

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

89%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

17 · 3 – 0

O. Edouard

Assist · M. Sangare · 1–0

⚽

26'

▮

Arthur Avom Ebong

Yellow Card

Mamadou Sangare

Yellow Card

▮

39'

Half-time · 1 – 0

A. Bulatovic ↓ · M. Sangare ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

59'

Jonathan Gradit

Yellow Card

▮

62'

65'

⇄

N. Cadiou ↓ · A. Avom ↑

Substitution 1

65'

⇄

P. Pagis ↓ · M. Bamba ↑

Substitution 2

M. Guilavogui ↓ · F. Thauvin ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

71'

R. Fofana ↓ · O. Edouard ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

71'

75'

⇄

J. Mvuka Mugisha ↓ · T. Le Bris ↑

Substitution 3

75'

⇄

S. Soumano ↓ · A. Tosin ↑

Substitution 4

W. Said

Assist · M. Udol · 2–0

⚽

77'

S. Abdulhamid ↓ · R. Aguilar ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

82'

F. Sotoca ↓ · W. Said ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

82'

⇄

J. Makengo ↓ · D. Karim ↑

Substitution 5

85'

▮

Laurent Abergel

Yellow Card

S. Baidoo

Assist · A. Bulatovic · 3–0

⚽

89'

Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

Lens beat Lorient 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: O. Edouard (6'), W. Said (77'), S. Baidoo (89').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.64 units (Brier 0.097).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	2.80	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.75	—	62%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.89	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.32	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.96	—	45%	Cashed	+0.96	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.79	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.52	—	69%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.14	—	90%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.52	—	60%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.18	—	69%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.24	—	82%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	95%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	4.75	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.80	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	16.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	7.25	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	5.41	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.64u	−33% ROI