Match Bologna vs Atalanta January 7, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.54 — +8.2% better than the market.

Bologna holds a clear quality edge and home momentum against Atalanta, who struggle defensively despite a strong recent run. Bologna’s attacking edge versus Atalanta’s defense suggests chances for goals, while their home form supports a pressing advantage. Expect a moderately paced game with tactical battles around midfield and set-piece opportunities shaping the contest.

Bologna’s home strength and attacking potential
Atalanta’s defensive vulnerabilities
Recent form favors Bologna’s consistency

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 1.54 ✗ Lost

AI 70% Implied 65% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BOL 4-2-3-1 · ATA 3-4-2-1

BOL · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · ATA

24 Dallinga

Subs used · BOL

46'

Rowe ↑ ·

Orsolini ↓

60'

Immobile ↑ ·

Dallinga ↓

72'

Moro ↑ ·

Freuler ↓

72'

Castro ↑ ·

Fabbian ↓

80'

Dominguez ↑ ·

Cambiaghi ↓

Subs used · ATA

68'

Hien ↑ ·

Scalvini ↓

68'

Musah ↑ ·

Zalewski ↓

77'

Samardzic ↑ ·

Krstovic ↓

77'

Brescianini ↑ ·

Ederson ↓

84'

Sulemana ↑ ·

De Ketelaere ↓

📊 Statistics

BOL 0 – 2 ATA

53%

Possession (%)

47%

1.05

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.32

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

77%

Pass Accuracy (%)

75%

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

12 · 0 – 2

37'

⚽

N. Krstovic

Assist · C. De Ketelaere · 0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

J. Rowe ↓ · R. Orsolini ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

C. Immobile ↓ · T. Dallinga ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

60'

⚽

N. Krstovic

Assist · M. De Roon · 0–2

68'

⇄

I. Hien ↓ · G. Scalvini ↑

Substitution 1

68'

⇄

Y. Musah ↓ · N. Zalewski ↑

Substitution 2

N. Moro ↓ · R. Freuler ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

72'

S. Castro ↓ · G. Fabbian ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

72'

77'

⇄

L. Samardzic ↓ · N. Krstovic ↑

Substitution 3

77'

⇄

M. Brescianini ↓ · Ederson ↑

Substitution 4

B. Dominguez ↓ · N. Cambiaghi ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

80'

84'

⇄

K. Sulemana ↓ · C. De Ketelaere ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Atalanta won 2–0 away at Bologna. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the scoresheet: N. Krstovic (37'), N. Krstovic (60').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.12 units (Brier 0.202).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.94	—	52%	Cashed	+0.94	Cashed
BTTS No	2.10	—	48%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.03	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.78	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.01	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.70	—	30%	Cashed	+1.70	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.93	—	30%	Cashed	+0.93	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.54	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.95	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.48	—	57%	Cashed	+0.48	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.75	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	92%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.33	—	73%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.33	—	73%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.55	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.42	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.12u	−18% ROI