Match Sparta Praha vs Lyon August 4, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 3.36 — +7.0% better than the market.

With limited recent form data, this UEFA Champions League clash hints at a cautious tempo, as odds favor under 2.5 goals. Sparta Praha may leverage home familiarity to maintain a compact defensive block, while Lyon's attacking threat could be somewhat contained. Expect a tactical battle with both sides probing carefully rather than an open, high-scoring encounter.

Home side's defensive resilience likely key
Lyon's offense may struggle to break through
Match pace suggests a measured, strategic approach

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 3.36 ✓ Cashed

AI 32% Implied 30% +2.36u

+236%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SPA 4-3-3 · LYO 4-3-3

SPA · 4-3-3 4-3-3 · LYO

7 Alcócer

📊 Statistics

SPA 2 – 1 LYO

52%

Possession (%)

48%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Sparta Praha beat Lyon 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.

From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 6. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.41 units (Brier 0.211).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.08	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.20	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.73	—	57%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
Away Win	2.13	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.78	—	44%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.45	—	32%	Cashed	+1.45	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.62	—	48%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.60	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.75	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.00	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.40	—	76%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.00	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.36	—	32%	Cashed	+2.36	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.34	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.64	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	83%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.22	—	67%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.41u	−14% ROI