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Home World UEFA Champions League Sparta Praha — Lyon

Predictions Sparta Praha vs Lyon August 4, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Sparta Praha
Sparta Praha
Home · last 5 W L
Kick-off
Tue 04 Aug · 18:00
2:1
Full-time
Lyon
Lyon
L W D Away · last 5
Referee S. Gozubuyuk
Home Win · SPA
32%
Best 3.52
Draw
26%
Best 3.68
Away Win · LYO
43%
Best 2.06
Value pick
Home Win
@ 3.36
Fair odds
3.14
book 3.36 · +7.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Medium
p 32% · EV +7.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (43%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 42.7%
Odds 2.13
Show model details
Implied probability 47%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 31.8%
Odds 3.36
Show model details
Implied probability 29.8%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 25.5%
Odds 3.64
Show model details
Implied probability 27.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 56.1%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 43.9%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 23.7%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 17.3%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 76.3%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 33.4%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 82.7%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 66.6%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 52.4%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 47.6%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 31.8%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 42.7%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 57.3%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 68.2%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
SPA – LYO @ 3.36
+7.0%
Edge
Forecast →