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Home Austria Bundesliga Grazer AK — Austria Lustenau

Match Grazer AK vs Austria Lustenau August 8, 2026 — Result and Stats

Austria   /   Bundesliga Value pick inside
Grazer AK
Grazer AK
Home · last 5 L W L
Kick-off
Sat 08 Aug · 15:00
2:1
Full-time
Austria Lustenau
Austria Lustenau
D L W Away · last 5
Merkur-Arena · Graz Referee Safak Barmaksiz, Austria
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 57% · book 2.00
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 63% · book 1.80
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 36% · book 2.71
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.45 – 0.53
Δ +0.92
Possession
56% – 44%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.00 — +13.3% better than the market.

Grazer AK faces Austria Lustenau in a match where both sides show limited recent form data, suggesting a cautious approach. The home side’s recent loss hints at early signs of struggle, while Austria Lustenau’s low points per game indicate defensive resilience rather than attacking threat. Expect a tight contest with a compact block and low scoring, supported by odds favoring under 2.5 goals and a no BTTS scenario.

  • Home momentum is fragile after a loss
  • Away side likely to prioritize defense
  • Match pace expected to be moderate, limiting goal chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 2.00 ✗ Lost
AI 57% Implied 50% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

GRA 21 LUS
56%
Possession (%)
44%
1.45
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.53
12
Total Shots
16
6
Shots on Target
3
4
Shots off Target
4
10
Shots Inside Box
8
5
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
1
12
Fouls
5
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
74%
1
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

Grazer AK beat Austria Lustenau 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.45 to 0.53. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 12, 3 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.01 units (Brier 0.234).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.00 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.80 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.71 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.52 38% Cashed +1.52 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.75 43% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.00 37% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.53 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.44 64% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.28 83% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Draw 3.40 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.50 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each 5 W · 6 L −2.01u −18% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
GRA – LUS @ 2.00
+13.3%
Edge
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