🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Sturm Graz to win — 65% probability.
Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 57%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Sturm Graz enters this clash with clear home momentum, boasting a strong recent run and superior points per game. Their attacking threat is evident, likely to challenge Austria Lustenau's defense, which has shown vulnerabilities. Meanwhile, Lustenau's away form is patchy, and their offensive output may struggle against a compact home block. The match hints at a moderate tempo with a balanced goal environment, favoring a controlled game where Sturm Graz holds the edge.
- Home side's consistent form and scoring potential
- Away team's defensive frailties under pressure
- Moderate pace suggesting tactical discipline
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 65% | Sturm Graz win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 57% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 53% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 85% | 1X |
- 1X2 Sturm Graz win 65%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57%
- BTTS Yes 53%
- Double Chance 1X 85%
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Sturm Graz
W/D/L
2-1-2
Goals (for / against)
4 / 4
Avg goals / match
1.6
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
1/5
Over 2.5
0/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
xG (for / against)
1.71 / 0.70
Austria Lustenau
W/D/L
1-1-1
Goals (for / against)
4 / 4
Avg goals / match
2.7
Scored in
3/3
Clean sheets
0/3
Both teams scored
3/3
Over 2.5
2/3
Home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
xG (for / against)
1.41 / 1.73
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Sturm Graz wins when scoring first
—
①
Austria Lustenau wins when scoring first
—
⚽
Sturm Graz BTTS rate · last 10
30%
⚽
Austria Lustenau BTTS rate · last 3
100%
↑
Sturm Graz Over 2.5 · last 10
20%
↑
Austria Lustenau Over 2.5 · last 3
67%
↩
Sturm Graz comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Austria Lustenau comeback rate · last 3
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Sturm Graz · last 4 at home
0–15
0%
16–30
33%
31–45
0%
46–60
33%
61–75
33%
76–90
0%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.
