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Home Austria Bundesliga Ried — Grazer AK

Preview Ried vs Grazer AK August 21, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Austria   /   Bundesliga Value pick inside
Ried
Ried
Home · last 5 D L L
Kick-off
Fri 21 Aug · 17:30
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Grazer AK
Grazer AK
L W L Away · last 5
Referee D. Pfister
Home Win · RIE
45%
Best 2.00
Draw
26%
Best 3.54
Away Win · GRA
29%
Best 3.70

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Under 2.5 goals — 54% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Ried faces Grazer AK with both sides struggling for form recently, but Grazer AK shows a slight edge in recent points and expected goals. The home side’s lack of momentum and defensive frailties could be exploited by Grazer’s sharper attack. Expect a cautious game with a modest tempo, leaning towards a tight scoreline given both teams’ recent low-scoring trends.

  • Grazer AK’s better recent form suggests a pressing edge.
  • Ried’s home struggles may limit attacking threat.
  • Low-scoring pattern likely with compact defensive setups.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 45% Ried win
Over/Under 2.5 54% Under 2.5
BTTS 50% Yes
Double Chance 71% 1X
  • 1X2 Ried win 45%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54%
  • BTTS Yes 50%
  • Double Chance 1X 71%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Ried
W/D/L 1-1-3
Goals (for / against) 5 / 11
Avg goals / match 3.2
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-2
xG (for / against) 1.20 / 1.71
Grazer AK
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 7 / 14
Avg goals / match 4.2
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 5/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-2
xG (for / against) 1.22 / 2.02

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1
Goals Scored
0.67
2.33
Goals Conceded
4
1.50
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
6
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
2.67
51.67
Possession (%)
41.67
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
17
OFF · home
33
42
DEF · home
100
58
OFF · away
33
58
DEF · away
8
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Ried wins when scoring first
Grazer AK wins when scoring first
Ried BTTS rate · last 10
50%
Grazer AK BTTS rate · last 10
40%
Ried Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Grazer AK Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
Ried comeback rate · last 10
0%
Grazer AK comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Ried · last 4 at home

0–15 33%
16–30 0%
31–45 33%
46–60 33%
61–75 0%
76–90 0%

Grazer AK · last 4 away

0–15 0%
16–30 100%
31–45 0%
46–60 0%
61–75 0%
76–90 0%
Front-loaded — most goals fall in the opening half-hour.

Top scorers

J. Nasrawe
RIE · Midfielder
1 G · 0.70 g/90
S. Schwab
RIE · Midfielder
1 G · 0.37 g/90
A. Hofleitner
GRA · Attacker
1 G · 0.51 g/90
D. Pines
GRA · Defender
1 G · 0.50 g/90