Match Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin August 8, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 3.51 — +7.5% better than the market.

Pogon Szczecin hosts Motor Lublin in a clash where recent form slightly favors the visitors, who have shown resilience despite a mixed run. Pogon’s home momentum and historical edge in head-to-heads suggest they can control the pace, but Motor’s ability to find the net keeps this contest open. Expect a tactical battle with compact defenses and cautious pressing, likely resulting in a moderate goal count.

Home side’s familiarity with the stadium offers a pressing edge
Motor’s recent form hints at a disciplined defensive setup
Moderate tempo expected, aligning with under 2.5 goals odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 3.51 ✗ Lost

AI 31% Implied 28% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

POG 4-2-3-1 · MOT 4-1-4-1

POG · 4-2-3-1 4-1-4-1 · MOT

7 Juwara

📊 Statistics

POG 3 – 1 MOT

44%

Possession (%)

56%

2.22

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.92

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Pogon Szczecin beat Motor Lublin 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.22 to 0.92. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 9 graded markets, 4 landed and 5 missed, for a net -2.46 units (Brier 0.188).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

9 · 4 W · 5 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.42	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.25	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.75	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.06	—	44%	Cashed	+1.06	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.62	—	54%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Away Win	3.51	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.33	—	69%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.53	—	57%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Draw	3.60	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 9 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	4 W · 5 L	−2.46u	−27% ROI

Match Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin August 8, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Away Win at 3.51 — +7.5% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled