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Home Poland Ekstraklasa Korona Kielce — Motor Lublin

Preview Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin August 22, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce
Home · last 5 L D W
Kick-off
Sat 22 Aug · 12:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
D L L W Away · last 5
Exbud Arena · Kielce
Home Win · KOR
46%
Best 1.95
Draw
25%
Best 3.75
Away Win · MOT
29%
Best 3.75

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Under 2.5 goals — 53% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Korona Kielce hosts Motor Lublin in a clash where recent form and historical results hint at a tight contest. Korona’s home momentum and previous clean sheets against Motor suggest a disciplined defensive setup. Motor’s recent struggles and less consistent form may limit their attacking threat, favoring a compact game with few clear chances.

  • Home side’s solid defensive shape
  • Motor’s inconsistent away form
  • Moderate pace expected with under 2.5 goals likely

Expect a tactical battle with Korona’s home edge nudging the balance. The match could lean towards a low-scoring affair, reflecting cautious approaches from both sides.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 46% Korona Kielce win
Over/Under 2.5 53% Under 2.5
BTTS 51% Yes
Double Chance 71% 1X
  • 1X2 Korona Kielce win 46%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53%
  • BTTS Yes 51%
  • Double Chance 1X 71%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Korona Kielce
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 5 / 4
Avg goals / match 1.8
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 1/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-1
xG (for / against) 0.61 / 0.91
Motor Lublin
W/D/L 1-1-3
Goals (for / against) 5 / 11
Avg goals / match 3.2
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-2
xG (for / against) 1.51 / 1.81

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1
Goals Scored
1.25
1
Goals Conceded
1.75
0.86
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
1.33
Shots on Target
5.25
4
Corners
3.75
33
Possession (%)
47.50
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
6
OFF · home
94
100
DEF · home
56
56
OFF · away
28
83
DEF · away
11
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Korona Kielce wins when scoring first
Motor Lublin wins when scoring first
Korona Kielce BTTS rate · last 10
60%
Motor Lublin BTTS rate · last 10
50%
Korona Kielce Over 2.5 · last 10
10%
Motor Lublin Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
Korona Kielce comeback rate · last 10
0%
Motor Lublin comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Korona Kielce · last 5 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 22%
31–45 22%
46–60 33%
61–75 11%
76–90 11%

Motor Lublin · last 5 away

0–15 14%
16–30 0%
31–45 29%
46–60 57%
61–75 0%
76–90 0%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.

Top scorers

M. Faßbender
KOR · Attacker
0 G
K. Czubak
MOT · Attacker
2 G · 0.50 g/90
M. Ndiaye
MOT · Attacker
1 G · 0.26 g/90