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Home Poland Ekstraklasa Pogon Szczecin — Wisla Krakow

Preview Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Krakow August 23, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin
Home · last 5 L W W
Kick-off
Sun 23 Aug · 18:15
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Wisla Krakow
Wisla Krakow
W L W L Away · last 5
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera · Szczecin
Home Win · POG
40%
Best 2.40
Draw
26%
Best 3.50
Away Win · WIS
33%
Best 2.94

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 68% probability.

Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 67%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Pogon Szczecin hosts Wisla Krakow in a contest where home momentum and slightly better recent form could tip the balance. Pogon’s home edge and a more consistent points yield suggest they may control the tempo, while Wisla’s defensive lapses and inconsistent away form leave room for Pogon’s pressing style to exploit. Expect a lively match with both sides likely to find the net given the attacking tendencies and moderate pace hinted by the odds.

  • Home momentum and form advantage
  • Pressing edge in midfield
  • Potential for goals at both ends

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 40% Pogon Szczecin win
Over/Under 2.5 67% Over 2.5
BTTS 68% Yes
Double Chance 67% 1X
  • 1X2 Pogon Szczecin win 40%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67%
  • BTTS Yes 68%
  • Double Chance 1X 67%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Pogon Szczecin
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 7 / 3
Avg goals / match 2.0
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 1/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 2-0-0
xG (for / against) 1.42 / 1.32
Wisla Krakow
W/D/L 2-0-2
Goals (for / against) 8 / 8
Avg goals / match 4.0
Scored in 4/4
Clean sheets 0/4
Both teams scored 4/4
Over 2.5 4/4
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-2
xG (for / against) 2.39 / 1.29

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.67
Goals Scored
2
0.67
Goals Conceded
2
1.41
Expected Goals (xG)
2.39
4.67
Shots on Target
6
3.67
Corners
5.75
42
Possession (%)
52.75
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
44
OFF · home
83
22
DEF · home
50
17
OFF · away
89
78
DEF · away
72
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Pogon Szczecin wins when scoring first
Wisla Krakow wins when scoring first
Pogon Szczecin BTTS rate · last 10
50%
Wisla Krakow BTTS rate · last 4
100%
Pogon Szczecin Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
Wisla Krakow Over 2.5 · last 4
100%
Pogon Szczecin comeback rate · last 10
0%
Wisla Krakow comeback rate · last 4
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Pogon Szczecin · last 4 at home

0–15 11%
16–30 11%
31–45 22%
46–60 22%
61–75 0%
76–90 33%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.

Top scorers

P. Mukairu
POG · Midfielder
1 G · 0.35 g/90
K. Acosta
POG · Midfielder
1 G · 0.42 g/90
Jordi Sánchez
WIS · Attacker
5 G · 1.34 g/90
M. Božić
WIS · Midfielder
2 G · 0.62 g/90