Match Jagiellonia vs Korona Kielce July 25, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 3.70 — +4.5% better than the market.

With limited data on recent form and team strength, this Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia and Korona Kielce looks finely balanced. The odds suggest a slight edge for the home side, possibly due to home momentum and familiar surroundings. Expect a cautious start with both teams probing each other's defenses, aiming to exploit set-piece opportunities and pressing to create turnovers.

Home advantage may provide a subtle boost.
Both sides likely to focus on defensive solidity early on.
Potential for a tight, tactical battle with moderate pace.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 3.70 ✗ Lost

AI 28% Implied 27% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

JAG 4-3-3 · KOR 3-4-2-1

JAG · 4-3-3 3-4-2-1 · KOR

7 Szmyt

📊 Statistics

JAG 1 – 0 KOR

62%

Possession (%)

38%

1.08

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.71

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Jagiellonia beat Korona Kielce 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 85% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 11, 1 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 7 graded markets, 3 landed and 4 missed, for a net -1.84 units (Brier 0.194).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 3 W · 4 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.83	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.77	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.95	—	48%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Home Win	1.96	—	46%	Cashed	+0.96	Cashed
Away Win	3.70	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.50	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.25	—	72%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	3 W · 4 L	−1.84u	−26% ROI