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Home Poland Ekstraklasa Jagiellonia — Korona Kielce

Predictions Jagiellonia vs Korona Kielce July 25, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia
Home · last 5 W W L
Kick-off
Sat 25 Jul · 12:45
1:0
Full-time
Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce
L D W Away · last 5
Referee Karol Arys, Poland
Home Win · JAG
46%
Best 1.90
Draw
26%
Best 3.48
Away Win · KOR
28%
Best 4.00
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.70
Fair odds
3.54
book 3.70 · +4.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Low
p 28% · EV +4.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (46%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 46%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 28.3%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 25.8%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 52.4%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 47.6%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 71.8%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
JAG – KOR @ 3.70
+4.5%
Edge
Forecast →