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Home Turkey Süper Lig Samsunspor — Göztepe

Match Samsunspor vs Göztepe August 17, 2026 — Result and Stats

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
Home · last 5 D
Kick-off
Mon 17 Aug · 18:30
3:3
Full-time
Göztepe
Göztepe
D Away · last 5
Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu · Samsun Referee K. Saglam
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 57% · book 1.73
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 54% · book 1.80
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 46% · book 2.10
Total goals
6
3 · 3
xG (open play)
2.74 – 1.89
Δ +0.85
Possession
69% – 31%
AI accuracy
6 / 11
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 3.56 — +5.5% better than the market.

With limited recent form and strength data, this Süper Lig clash between Samsunspor and Göztepe hints at a cautious encounter. The odds suggest a balanced game with a slight lean towards a low-scoring affair, reflecting a probable compact defensive setup from both sides. Expect a tactical battle where neither team holds a clear edge, and the pace might stay measured, favoring disciplined positioning over open play.

  • Both teams likely to prioritize defensive solidity
  • Low-scoring match probable given odds
  • Balanced contest with no clear quality gap

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 3.56 ✗ Lost
AI 30% Implied 28% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

SAM 33 GOZ
69%
Possession (%)
31%
2.74
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.89
21
Total Shots
20
3
Shots on Target
7
7
Shots off Target
6
14
Shots Inside Box
14
4
Corner Kicks
8
1
Offsides
1
8
Fouls
13
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
59%
1
Yellow Cards
4
4
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match recap

Samsunspor and Göztepe drew 3–3. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 69% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 80% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.74 to 1.89. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 4. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 6 landed and 5 missed, for a net +3.17 units (Brier 0.297).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 6 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.73 57% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.80 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.10 46% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Home Win 2.18 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.83 52% Cashed +0.83 Cashed
BTTS No 1.95 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.56 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.25 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.75 25% Cashed +2.75 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.33 70% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Draw 3.43 27% Cashed +2.43 Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each 6 W · 5 L +3.17u +29% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
SAM – GOZ @ 3.56
+5.5%
Edge
Forecast →