P
Prognosist
P
Home Turkey Süper Lig Samsunspor — Göztepe

Predictions Samsunspor vs Göztepe August 17, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
Home · last 5 D
Kick-off
Mon 17 Aug · 18:30
3:3
Full-time
Göztepe
Göztepe
D Away · last 5
Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu · Samsun Referee K. Saglam
Home Win · SAM
44%
Best 2.27
Draw
27%
Best 3.39
Away Win · GOZ
30%
Best 3.39
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.56
Fair odds
3.37
book 3.56 · +5.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Low
p 30% · EV +5.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (43%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 43.5%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 29.6%
Odds 3.56
Show model details
Implied probability 28.1%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 26.9%
Odds 3.43
Show model details
Implied probability 29.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 53.9%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 46.2%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 75%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 25%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.6%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 48.4%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 56.5%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 70.4%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
SAM – GOZ @ 3.56
+5.5%
Edge
Forecast →