Match Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor August 16, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.71 — +13.0% better than the market.

With limited recent form and index data, this Süper Lig opener leans toward Başakşehir's home advantage given their familiarity and crowd support. The odds suggest a balanced pace with a slight edge to a tighter game under 3.5 goals. Başakşehir's compact defense could stifle Kocaelispor's attack, while the visitors may look to exploit set-pieces for chances.

Home momentum likely favors Başakşehir
Potential for a cautious, tactical battle
Moderate goal environment expected

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 2.71 ✗ Lost

AI 42% Implied 37% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

IST 4-2-3-1 · KOC 4-2-3-1

IST · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · KOC

91 Yıldırım

📊 Statistics

IST 2 – 0 KOC

51%

Possession (%)

49%

1.96

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.50

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Başakşehir beat Kocaelispor 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.96 to 0.50. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 8, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -3.33 units (Brier 0.145).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	2.71	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.90	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.98	—	49%	Cashed	+0.98	Cashed
BTTS No	1.75	—	53%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.00	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	7.17	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.50	—	58%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Draw	4.47	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.33	—	71%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.25	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.11	—	80%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−3.33u	−30% ROI