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Home Turkey Süper Lig Başakşehir — Kocaelispor

Predictions Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor August 16, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Başakşehir
Başakşehir
Home · last 5 W
Kick-off
Sun 16 Aug · 16:00
2:0
Full-time
Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor
L Away · last 5
Referee M. Turkmen
Home Win · IST
58%
Best 1.67
Draw
22%
Best 3.86
Away Win · KOC
20%
Best 5.97
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.71
Fair odds
2.40
book 2.71 · +13.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Low
p 42% · EV +13.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (80%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win
Probability 19.6%
Odds 7.17
Show model details
Implied probability 14%
Bet quality Low
Home Win Best in group
Probability 58.3%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 22.1%
Odds 4.47
Show model details
Implied probability 22.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 51%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 49%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 71%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 29%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53.3%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 46.7%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 41.7%
Odds 2.71
Show model details
Implied probability 36.9%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 80.4%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
IST – KOC @ 2.71
+13.0%
Edge
Forecast →