Match Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce March 16, 2026 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Mon 16 Mar · 18:00
2:1
Full-time
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera · Szczecin
Referee Damian Kos, Poland
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 50% · book 2.10
✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 47% · book 2.25
✗
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 53% · book 1.82
✗
xG (open play)
2.16 – 0.87
Δ +1.29
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.10 — +5.9% better than the market.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.10
✗ Lost
AI 50%
Implied 48%
−1.00u
⛀ Lineups
POG 4-2-3-1 · KOR 3-5-2
📊 Statistics
POG 2
– 1 KOR
2.16
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.87
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
76%
Match recap
Pogon Szczecin beat Korona Kielce 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 85% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.16 to 0.87. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 5, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 3.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.91 units (Brier 0.142).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 8 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.10 |
— |
50% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
2.25 |
— |
47% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.82 |
— |
53% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Home Win |
2.06 |
— |
47% |
Cashed |
+1.06 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.67 |
— |
53% |
Cashed |
+0.67 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.79 |
— |
50% |
Cashed |
+0.79 |
Cashed
|
| AH Away 0 |
2.70 |
— |
28% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 1.5 |
4.00 |
— |
26% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.44 |
— |
72% |
Cashed |
+0.44 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.34 |
— |
72% |
Cashed |
+0.34 |
Cashed
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.98 |
— |
28% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.50 |
— |
47% |
Cashed |
+0.50 |
Cashed
|
| Under 0.5 |
13.00 |
— |
8% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
3.60 |
— |
28% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.05 |
— |
92% |
Cashed |
+0.05 |
Cashed
|
| Draw |
3.64 |
— |
25% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.24 |
— |
74% |
Cashed |
+0.24 |
Cashed
|
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 9 L |
−4.91u |
−29% ROI |