Match Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar August 15, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.53 — +7.0% better than the market.

Utrecht hosts AZ Alkmaar in what promises to be an open Eredivisie clash. AZ arrives with momentum after a recent win, while Utrecht is struggling to find form. The historical edge favors AZ, who have scored freely in past meetings. Expect a lively tempo with both sides pushing forward, increasing the chances of goals.

AZ's recent winning form contrasts with Utrecht's current slump.
Previous encounters suggest AZ's attacking threat could exploit Utrecht's defense.
The match likely to feature a high pace and goal-scoring opportunities.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes

BTTS Yes @ 1.53 ✓ Cashed

AI 70% Implied 65% +0.53u

+53%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

UTR 3-4-2-1 · ALK 4-2-3-1

UTR · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · ALK

18 Stepanov

📊 Statistics

UTR 1 – 4 ALK

48%

Possession (%)

52%

0.83

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.93

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

AZ Alkmaar won 4–1 away at Utrecht. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.93 to 0.83. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 24 shots to 8, 9 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 3. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 4 from 1.93 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 9 graded markets, 4 landed and 5 missed, for a net -0.76 units (Brier 0.199).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

9 · 4 W · 5 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	2.50	—	49%	Cashed	+1.50	Cashed
Away Win	2.75	—	38%	Cashed	+1.75	Cashed
Home Win	2.78	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.50	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.53	—	70%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.57	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.46	—	64%	Cashed	+0.46	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.50	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.70	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 9 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	4 W · 5 L	−0.76u	−8% ROI