🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 71% probability.
Also rated highly: both teams to score 68%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Fortuna Sittard hosts AZ Alkmaar in a clash where recent form slightly favors the visitors, who have won their last two matches compared to Fortuna's mixed results. The home side shows signs of resilience and could leverage their home momentum, but AZ's sharper attack and higher expected goals hint at a pressing edge. Expect a lively encounter with both teams likely to find the net, supported by a pace that suggests an open game with multiple scoring chances.
- AZ's recent winning streak boosts confidence.
- Fortuna's home atmosphere may disrupt visitors.
- Both teams show attacking intent, favoring goals.
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 52% | AZ Alkmaar win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 71% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 68% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 74% | X2 |
- 1X2 AZ Alkmaar win 52%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 71%
- BTTS Yes 68%
- Double Chance X2 74%
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Fortuna Sittard
W/D/L
2-1-2
Goals (for / against)
9 / 9
Avg goals / match
3.6
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
xG (for / against)
0.90 / 2.36
AZ Alkmaar
W/D/L
2-3-0
Goals (for / against)
12 / 7
Avg goals / match
3.8
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-2-0
Away (W-D-L)
1-1-0
xG (for / against)
1.86 / 1.08
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Fortuna Sittard wins when scoring first
—
①
AZ Alkmaar wins when scoring first
—
⚽
Fortuna Sittard BTTS rate · last 10
80%
⚽
AZ Alkmaar BTTS rate · last 10
40%
↑
Fortuna Sittard Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↑
AZ Alkmaar Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↩
Fortuna Sittard comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
AZ Alkmaar comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Fortuna Sittard · last 3 at home
0–15
33%
16–30
0%
31–45
33%
46–60
0%
61–75
0%
76–90
33%
AZ Alkmaar · last 4 away
0–15
17%
16–30
17%
31–45
0%
46–60
33%
61–75
0%
76–90
33%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.
