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Home Netherlands Eredivisie PSV Eindhoven — Fortuna Sittard

Match PSV Eindhoven vs Fortuna Sittard August 8, 2026 — Result and Stats

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
Home · last 5 D W
Kick-off
Sat 08 Aug · 18:00
2:2
Full-time
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
D W Away · last 5
Philips Stadion · Eindhoven Referee A. Bos
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 58% · book 1.65
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 42% · book 2.30
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 39% · book 2.45
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
2.30 – 1.01
Δ +1.29
Possession
76% – 24%
AI accuracy
6 / 11
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 7.50 — +14.6% better than the market.

PSV Eindhoven hosts Fortuna Sittard in a match where attacking intent is expected to dominate. The strong odds for over 2.5 goals suggest a lively tempo with both sides likely to push forward. PSV’s home advantage and historical stature hint at control, while Fortuna may look to exploit set-pieces and counterattacks. Early signs point to a game with multiple goal opportunities and a pressing edge favoring the hosts.

  • Home momentum at Philips Stadion
  • Potential for open, attacking play
  • Set-piece and counter threat from visitors

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Draw
Draw @ 7.50 ✓ Cashed
AI 15% Implied 13% +6.50u
+650%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

PSV 22 SIT
76%
Possession (%)
24%
2.30
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.01
21
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
6
8
Shots off Target
2
16
Shots Inside Box
4
9
Corner Kicks
0
0
Offsides
4
9
Fouls
6
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
66%
1
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

PSV Eindhoven and Fortuna Sittard drew 2–2. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 76% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.30 to 1.01. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 8, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 0.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 6 landed and 5 missed, for a net +6.50 units (Brier 0.225).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 6 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 1.65 58% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
Under 3.5 2.30 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.45 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 11.00 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 4.50 31% Cashed +3.50 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.57 61% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Draw 7.50 15% Cashed +6.50 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.22 77% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Under 2.5 4.20 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.06 84% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Home Win 1.23 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each 6 W · 5 L +6.50u +59% ROI
Value pick of the night · Draw
PSV – SIT @ 7.50
+14.6%
Edge
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