Match Famalicao vs Maritimo August 16, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.98 — +1.0% better than the market.

Famalicao hosts Maritimo in a Primeira Liga clash where recent form slightly favors the visitors, who come off a win while Famalicao drew their last game. The home side may have a mild edge in familiar surroundings, but Maritimo’s momentum and higher points per game suggest they could press effectively. Expect a balanced contest with tactical discipline and a moderate pace, likely producing under 2.5 goals given cautious approaches from both sides.

Maritimo’s recent win boosts confidence
Famalicao’s home comfort offers some resistance
Moderate tempo hints at a compact, tactical game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.98 ✓ Cashed

AI 51% Implied 51% +0.98u

+98%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

FAM 4-2-3-1 · MAR 4-3-3

FAM · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · MAR

70 Koutsias

Subs used · FAM

46'

Santos ↑ ·

Moreira ↓

46'

Dias ↑ ·

Aranda ↓

46'

Meyer ↑ ·

Bondo ↓

76'

Abubakar ↑ ·

Koutsias ↓

85'

Beney ↑ ·

Sorriso ↓

Subs used · MAR

73'

Bamba ↑ ·

Butzke ↓

73'

Boakye ↑ ·

Tejon ↓

80'

Tavares ↑ ·

Bouzaidi ↓

88'

Szalai ↑ ·

Danilovic ↓

88'

Ayuma ↑ ·

Andrade ↓

📊 Statistics

FAM 1 – 2 MAR

67%

Possession (%)

33%

0.58

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.61

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

89%

Pass Accuracy (%)

75%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 1 – 2

F. van Breemen

Assist · O. Aranda · 1–0

⚽

21'

⚽

S. Bouzaidi

1–1

42'

▮

A. Butzke

Yellow Card

Half-time · 1 – 1

P. Santos ↓ · P. Moreira ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

Gil Dias ↓ · O. Aranda ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

46'

L. Meyer ↓ · Pedro Bondo ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

46'

F. van Breemen

Yellow Card

▮

50'

68'

▮

Igor Juliao

Yellow Card

73'

⇄

S. Bamba ↓ · A. Butzke ↑

Substitution 1

73'

⇄

M. Boakye ↓ · M. Tejon ↑

Substitution 2

U. Abubakar ↓ · G. Koutsias ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

76'

80'

⇄

T. Tavares ↓ · S. Bouzaidi ↑

Substitution 3

R. Beney ↓ · Sorriso ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

85'

88'

⇄

G. Szalai ↓ · V. Danilovic ↑

Substitution 4

88'

⇄

I. Ayuma ↓ · R. Andrade ↑

Substitution 5

90+4'

⚽

M. Boakye

1–2

Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Maritimo won 2–1 away at Famalicao. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 67% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 89% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.61 to 0.58. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 9, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: F. van Breemen (8'), S. Bouzaidi (21'), M. Boakye (90+4').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.40 units (Brier 0.224).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.98	2.05	51%	Cashed	+0.98	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.10	2.15	47%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.93	1.99	50%	Cashed	+0.93	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.75	1.67	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.80	1.75	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.78	1.74	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.55	5.00	26%	Cashed	+3.55	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.19	1.18	74%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	1.04	91%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.31	1.33	72%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.50	3.75	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.25	1.22	74%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Draw	3.60	3.50	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.25	3.00	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.23	3.41	26%	Cashed	+2.23	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.00	8.00	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.30	1.26	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+0.40u	+2% ROI