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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Famalicao — Maritimo

Predictions Famalicao vs Maritimo August 16, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Famalicao
Famalicao
Home · last 5 D L
Kick-off
Sun 16 Aug · 19:30
1:2
Full-time
Maritimo
Maritimo
W W Away · last 5
Referee M. Nogueira
Home Win · FAM
49%
Best 1.79
Draw
25%
Best 3.64
Away Win · MAR
26%
Best 5.03
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.98
Fair odds
1.96
book 1.98 · +1.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 51% · EV +1.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (74%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 48.9%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 25.8%
Odds 4.55
Show model details
Implied probability 22%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 25.4%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 46.7%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 53.3%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.9%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 72.2%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 26.4%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 73.6%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 27.8%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 9.1%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.2%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 52%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 49.8%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 25.8%
Odds 3.23
Show model details
Implied probability 31%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 48.9%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 77.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 51.1%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.6%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 74.2%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
FAM – MAR @ 1.98
+1.0%
Edge
Forecast →