Match Rio Ave vs FC Porto August 15, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.75 — +8.0% better than the market.

FC Porto arrives with clear momentum after a recent win, while Rio Ave struggles to find form. The away side's higher quality and recent success suggest they hold the upper hand. Expect Porto's disciplined defense to challenge Rio Ave's attack, likely limiting goal opportunities.

Porto's solid away form offers a tactical edge.
Rio Ave's home pressure may be contained by a compact Porto block.
Moderate pace hints at a controlled, strategic game rather than a high-scoring affair.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.75 ✓ Cashed

AI 62% Implied 57% +0.75u

+75%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

RIO 4-3-3 · POR 4-3-3

RIO · 4-3-3 4-3-3 · POR

7 Bezerra

Subs used · RIO

59'

Spikic ↑ ·

Galcik ↓

75'

Vrousai ↑ ·

Monteiro ↓

75'

Lomboto ↑ ·

Petrasso ↓

83'

Patricio ↑ ·

Liavas ↓

83'

Samuel ↑ ·

Nascimento ↓

Subs used · POR

66'

Sainz ↑ ·

Gomes ↓

66'

In-Beom ↑ ·

Gul ↓

69'

Silva ↑ ·

Veiga ↓

69'

Costa ↑ ·

Perez ↓

89'

Eustaquio ↑ ·

Pepe ↓

📊 Statistics

RIO 0 – 2 POR

48%

Possession (%)

52%

0.58

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.97

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

12 · 0 – 2

11'

⚽

N. Perez

Assist · G. Veiga · 0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

D. Spikic ↓ · R. Galcik ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

59'

66'

⇄

B. Sainz ↓ · William Gomes ↑

Substitution 1

66'

⇄

Hwang In-Beom ↓ · D. Gul ↑

Substitution 2

69'

⇄

Andre Silva ↓ · G. Veiga ↑

Substitution 3

69'

⇄

A. Costa ↓ · N. Perez ↑

Substitution 4

M. Vrousai ↓ · T. Monteiro ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

75'

J. Lomboto ↓ · F. Petrasso ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

75'

82'

⚽

B. Sainz

Assist · Hwang In-Beom · 0–2

M. Patricio ↓ · G. Liavas ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

83'

Samuel ↓ · D. Nascimento ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

83'

89'

⇄

S. Eustaquio ↓ · Pepe ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

FC Porto won 2–0 away at Rio Ave. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.97 to 0.58. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.

On the scoresheet: N. Perez (11'), B. Sainz (82').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.01 units (Brier 0.102).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.75	1.70	62%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.75	1.80	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.17	2.05	44%	Cashed	+1.17	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.05	2.76	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.97	2.05	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	8.58	8.20	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	3.22	3.05	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	5.85	6.13	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.06	1.08	82%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Away Win	1.35	1.37	62%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.07	1.10	62%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Draw	5.16	4.67	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	1.03	94%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.18	1.22	78%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.39	1.36	66%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
Under 0.5	15.00	12.99	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.90	4.00	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−6.01u	−35% ROI