Match Estrela vs Sporting CP August 8, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 6.50 — +6.9% better than the market.

Sporting CP enters this Primeira Liga clash as clear favorites, with a notable quality edge and strong away momentum. Despite limited recent form data, the odds suggest a brisk pace and a likely open game, favoring Sporting's attacking prowess against Estrela's defense. The home side may struggle to contain Sporting’s forward threat, while their own offensive potential remains uncertain.

Sporting’s superior quality and away confidence
Potential for an open, high-tempo match
Estrela’s defensive resilience yet unproven attack

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Draw

Draw @ 6.50 ✓ Cashed

AI 16% Implied 15% +5.50u

+550%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

EST 4-3-3 · SPO 4-2-3-1

EST · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · SPO

10 Stoica

Subs used · EST

65'

Robinho ↑ ·

Serra ↓

74'

Souza ↑ ·

Stoica ↓

74'

Encada ↑ ·

Scholze ↓

89'

van Hooijdonk ↑ ·

Antonetti ↓

90'

Souza ↑ ·

Marcus ↓

Subs used · SPO

61'

Suarez ↑ ·

Ioannidis ↓

61'

Andersen ↑ ·

Goncalves ↓

78'

Fresneda ↑ ·

Vagiannidis ↓

78'

Guilherme ↑ ·

Catamo ↓

82'

Derry ↑ ·

Doumbia ↓

📊 Statistics

EST 2 – 2 SPO

44%

Possession (%)

56%

1.01

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.63

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

88%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

18 · 2 – 2

Half-time · 0 – 0

46'

⚽

R. Zalazar

Assist · G. Catamo · 0–1

G. Doue

Yellow Card

▮

52'

59'

⚽

F. Ioannidis

Assist · R. Zalazar · 0–2

61'

⇄

L. Suarez ↓ · F. Ioannidis ↑

Substitution 1

61'

⇄

S. Andersen ↓ · F. Goncalves ↑

Substitution 2

Robinho ↓ · S. Serra ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

65'

67'

▮

L. Suarez

Yellow Card

L. Antonetti

Assist · I. Stoica · 1–2

⚽

72'

B. Souza ↓ · I. Stoica ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

74'

J. Encada ↓ · M. Scholze ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

74'

78'

⇄

I. Fresneda ↓ · G. Vagiannidis ↑

Substitution 3

78'

⇄

Luis Guilherme ↓ · G. Catamo ↑

Substitution 4

82'

⇄

J. Derry ↓ · I. Doumbia ↑

Substitution 5

B. Souza

Assist · Robinho · 2–2

⚽

84'

S. van Hooijdonk ↓ · L. Antonetti ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

89'

Alisson Souza ↓ · A. Marcus ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90'

B. Souza

Yellow Card

▮

90+2'

▮

J. Derry

Yellow Card

Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Estrela and Sporting CP drew 2–2. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.63 to 1.01. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 9, 8 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: R. Zalazar (46'), F. Ioannidis (59'), L. Antonetti (72'), B. Souza (84').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +3.20 units (Brier 0.229).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.62	1.50	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.30	2.50	41%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
BTTS No	1.67	1.69	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.10	2.07	44%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.44	2.30	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	14.00	10.99	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	4.50	3.75	31%	Cashed	+3.50	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.62	1.62	59%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
AH Home 0	9.00	7.52	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	6.50	5.92	16%	Cashed	+5.50	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.02	1.02	94%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Under 0.5	17.25	14.93	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.13	1.14	82%	Cashed	+0.13	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.10	4.50	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.03	1.04	86%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Away Win	1.20	1.25	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.02	1.03	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+3.20u	+19% ROI