P
Prognosist
P
Home Portugal Primeira Liga Estrela — Sporting CP

Predictions Estrela vs Sporting CP August 8, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Estrela
Estrela
Home · last 5 D D
Kick-off
Sat 08 Aug · 19:30
2:2
Full-time
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
D W Away · last 5
Referee J. Goncalves
Home Win · EST
14%
Best 11.60
Draw
17%
Best 6.79
Away Win · SPO
69%
Best 1.27
Value pick
Draw
@ 6.50
Fair odds
6.08
book 6.50 · +6.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 16% · EV +6.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (69%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 14.4%
Odds 14.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.1%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 16.5%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 69.1%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 41.3%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 37.8%
Odds 2.44
Show model details
Implied probability 41%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.4%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.6%
Odds 17.25
Show model details
Implied probability 5.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 18.1%
Odds 5.10
Show model details
Implied probability 19.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 55.7%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 44.3%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 14.4%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 69.1%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 30.9%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Best in group
Probability 85.6%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
EST – SPO @ 6.50
+6.9%
Edge
Forecast →