Match Estoril vs Famalicao August 7, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 3.15 — +2.3% better than the market.

With limited recent form and strength data, this Primeira Liga opener between Estoril and Famalicao looks finely balanced. The odds suggest a cautious tempo with a slight lean towards a low-scoring affair. Home advantage might offer Estoril a mild edge, especially if they leverage set-pieces and maintain compact defensive shape. Famalicao could look to exploit quick transitions, but both sides may prioritize solidity early in the season.

Home side’s familiarity with the pitch could aid defensive organization.
Even odds on goals hint at a measured pace.
Early season dynamics may favor cautious approaches.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 3.15 ✗ Lost

AI 32% Implied 32% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

EST 4-2-3-1 · FAM 4-2-3-1

EST · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · FAM

14 Begraoui ⚽

Subs used · EST

66'

Garcia ↑ ·

Lacximicant ↓

66'

Carvalho ↑ ·

Sanchez ↓

83'

Jandro ↑ ·

Xeka ↓

87'

Brito ↑ ·

Tsoungui ↓

Subs used · FAM

66'

Szucs ↑ ·

Santos ↓

77'

Beney ↑ ·

Sorriso ↓

77'

Aranda ↑ ·

Dias ↓

83'

Abubakar ↑ ·

Koutsias ↓

📊 Statistics

EST 1 – 1 FAM

50%

Possession (%)

50%

0.99

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.43

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

13 · 1 – 1

32'

⚽

G. Koutsias

Assist · Gil Dias · 0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

R. Sanchez

Yellow Card

▮

53'

F. Garcia ↓ · A. Lacximicant ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

66'

P. Carvalho ↓ · R. Sanchez ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

66'

⇄

T. Szucs ↓ · P. Santos ↑

Substitution 1

Y. Begraoui

Assist · P. Carvalho · 1–1

⚽

72'

76'

▮

R. Pinheiro

Yellow Card

77'

⇄

R. Beney ↓ · Sorriso ↑

Substitution 2

77'

⇄

O. Aranda ↓ · Gil Dias ↑

Substitution 3

Jandro ↓ · Xeka ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

83'

⇄

U. Abubakar ↓ · G. Koutsias ↑

Substitution 4

T. Brito ↓ · A. Tsoungui ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

87'

90+3'

▮

R. Beney

Yellow Card

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Estoril and Famalicao drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 6, 3 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: G. Koutsias (32'), Y. Begraoui (72').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.41 units (Brier 0.153).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X	1.64	1.54	59%	Cashed	+0.64	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.91	1.84	50%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.93	2.00	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.73	1.72	54%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
BTTS No	2.00	2.02	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.18	2.39	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.36	2.14	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.77	1.73	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.15	3.00	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.10	3.30	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	1.04	90%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.55	10.99	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.32	1.29	70%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.27	1.28	73%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.40	3.40	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.35	1.38	68%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
Draw	3.33	3.26	27%	Cashed	+2.33	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.41u	−20% ROI