Match Santa Clara vs Nacional August 10, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 4.10 — +8.6% better than the market.

With limited recent form and performance data, this Primeira Liga clash between Santa Clara and Nacional hints at a cautious encounter. The odds suggest a moderate tempo with a slight lean towards fewer goals, indicating both sides might prioritize defensive solidity early in the season. Home advantage could offer Santa Clara a subtle edge, but Nacional’s resilience away may keep the match tight.

Potential compact defensive setups
Balanced attacking threat on both sides
Early season tactical adjustments likely

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 4.10 ✗ Lost

AI 26% Implied 24% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SAN 4-2-3-1 · NAC 4-2-3-1

SAN · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · NAC

8 Tavares

99 Sorriso

9 Paciência ⚽

Subs used · SAN

67'

Torrao ↑ ·

Lopes ↓

67'

Ribeiro ↑ ·

Tavares ↓

79'

Rildo ↑ ·

Borges ↓

79'

Fernando ↑ ·

Sorriso ↓

85'

Soares ↑ ·

Calila ↓

Subs used · NAC

61'

Soares ↑ ·

Silva ↓

72'

Gavriel ↑ ·

Baeza ↓

72'

I. de la Cruz ↑ ·

Gasolina ↓

80'

Deivison ↑ ·

Junior ↓

80'

Iseppe ↑ ·

Jensen ↓

📊 Statistics

SAN 2 – 2 NAC

52%

Possession (%)

48%

1.43

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.23

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

18 · 2 – 2

G. Paciencia

1–0

⚽

19'

G. Paciencia

Assist · Diogo Calila · 2–0

⚽

21'

Vinicius Lopes

Yellow Card

▮

24'

36'

⚽

Liziero (P)

Penalty · 2–1

Daniel Borges

Yellow Card

▮

39'

40'

▮

Wesley Gasolina

Yellow Card

45'

⚽

M. Baeza

2–2

Half-time · 2 – 2

61'

⇄

F. Soares ↓ · J. Silva ↑

Substitution 1

Welinton Torrao ↓ · Vinicius Lopes ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

67'

T. Ribeiro ↓ · J. Tavares ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

67'

69'

▮

F. Soares

Yellow Card

72'

⇄

S. Gavriel ↓ · M. Baeza ↑

Substitution 2

72'

⇄

D. I. de la Cruz ↓ · Wesley Gasolina ↑

Substitution 3

Rildo ↓ · Daniel Borges ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

79'

Fernando ↓ · Sorriso ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

79'

80'

⇄

Deivison ↓ · Daniel Junior ↑

Substitution 4

80'

⇄

Mateus Iseppe ↓ · M. Jensen ↑

Substitution 5

Lucas Soares ↓ · Diogo Calila ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

85'

Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Santa Clara and Nacional drew 2–2. At half-time it was 2–2.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 10, 7 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: G. Paciencia (19'), G. Paciencia (21'), Liziero (36'), M. Baeza (45').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.69 units (Brier 0.265).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.86	1.87	53%	Cashed	+0.86	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.50	1.48	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.55	2.60	37%	Cashed	+1.55	Cashed
BTTS No	1.64	1.63	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.20	2.17	43%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
Home Win	1.93	1.91	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.50	2.50	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.01	3.30	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.10	4.59	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.28	1.35	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	1.07	88%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Under 0.5	7.60	6.99	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.13	1.13	82%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.47	1.50	63%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Over 3.5	5.00	5.00	19%	Cashed	+4.00	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.22	1.18	74%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Draw	3.33	3.00	27%	Cashed	+2.33	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+1.69u	+10% ROI