Match Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol April 23, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.75 — +8.2% better than the market.

Rayo Vallecano hosts Espanyol in a La Liga clash where the away side holds a slight quality edge. Despite Espanyol's better overall strength, Rayo's home momentum and pressing edge could balance the scales. Both teams show defensive vulnerabilities, suggesting a tactical battle with potential for tight moments.

Rayo's home form shows resilience despite mixed results.
Espanyol's offense faces a tough Rayo defense.
Moderate pace expected, favoring compact play and set-piece chances.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.75 ✗ Lost

AI 62% Implied 57% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

RAY 4-2-3-1 · ESP 4-4-2

RAY · 4-2-3-1 4-4-2 · ESP

9 Alemão

Subs used · RAY

58'

Akhomach ↑ ·

Pacha ↓

76'

Lopez ↑ ·

Valentin ↓

76'

Gumbau ↑ ·

Alemao ↓

81'

Mumin ↑ ·

Vertrouwd ↓

81'

Camello ↑ ·

Diaz ↓

Subs used · ESP

46'

Pickel ↑ ·

Lozano ↓

67'

Terrats ↑ ·

Fernandez Jaen ↓

78'

Ngonge ↑ ·

Dolan ↓

78'

Riedel ↑ ·

Calero ↓

90+1'

Rubio ↑ ·

Milla ↓

📊 Statistics

RAY 1 – 0 ESP

53%

Possession (%)

47%

1.67

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.97

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

73%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

17 · 1 – 0

Augusto Batalla

Yellow Card

▮

-5'

▮

Pere Milla

Yellow Card

19'

▮

Pol Lozano

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

46'

⇄

C. Pickel ↓ · P. Lozano ↑

Substitution 1

Pathé Ismaël Ciss

Yellow Card

▮

50'

I. Akhomach ↓ · Pacha ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

58'

67'

⇄

R. Terrats ↓ · R. Fernandez Jaen ↑

Substitution 2

75'

▮

Leandro Cabrera

Yellow Card

U. Lopez ↓ · O. Valentin ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

76'

G. Gumbau ↓ · Alemao ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

76'

78'

⇄

C. Ngonge ↓ · T. Dolan ↑

Substitution 3

78'

⇄

C. Riedel ↓ · F. Calero ↑

Substitution 4

A. Mumin ↓ · J. Vertrouwd ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

81'

S. Camello ↓ · P. Diaz ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

81'

83'

▮

Cyril Ngonge

Yellow Card

S. Camello

Assist · I. Akhomach · 1–0

⚽

87'

90+1'

⇄

M. Rubio ↓ · P. Milla ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Rayo Vallecano beat Espanyol 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: S. Camello (87').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.76 units (Brier 0.207).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.75	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.77	—	56%	Cashed	+0.77	Cashed
BTTS No	1.91	—	51%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.22	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.76	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.91	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.19	—	38%	Cashed	+1.19	Cashed
Away Win	3.96	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.40	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.29	—	66%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.22	—	30%	Cashed	+2.22	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.09	—	90%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.27	—	77%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.00	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.30	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.50	—	38%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.76u	−16% ROI