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Home › Spain › La Liga › Mallorca — Rayo Vallecano

Match Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano April 12, 2026 — Result and Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Mallorca
Mallorca
Home · last 5 W D L L W
Kick-off
Sun 12 Apr · 14:15
3:0
Full-time
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
W D D W W Away · last 5
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix · Palma de Mallorca Referee Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.72 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 1.91 ✓
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 42% · book 2.31 ✓
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
1.68 – 1.43
Δ +0.25
Possession
45% – 55%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 3.10 — +12.6% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 3.10 ✗ Lost
AI 36% Implied 32% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MAL 4-3-1-2 · RAY 4-3-3
MAL · 4-3-1-2 4-3-3 · RAY 1 Román 23 Maffeo 27 López 5 Mascarell 22 Mojica 12 Costa 10 Darder 8 Morlanes 20 Torre 15 Luvumbo 7 Muriqi ⚽ 1 Cárdenas 2 Rațiu 24 Lejeune 32 Mendy 22 Espino 4 Díaz 23 Valentín 15 Gumbau 12 Akhomach 11 Nteka 18 García
Subs used · MAL
62' Virgili ↑ · Luvumbo ↓
72' Asano ↑ · Torre ↓
72' Kumbulla ↑ · Costa ↓
81' Prats ↑ · Maffeo ↓
81' Sanchez ↑ · Morlanes ↓
Subs used · RAY
46' de Frutos ↑ · Mendy ↓
46' Ciss ↑ · Valentin ↓
67' Chavarria ↑ · Akhomach ↓
77' Camello ↑ · Garcia ↓
81' Alemao ↑ · Nteka ↓

📊 Statistics

MAL 3 – 0 RAY
45%
Possession (%)
55%
1.68
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.43
12
Total Shots
17
4
Shots on Target
3
8
Shots off Target
9
11
Shots Inside Box
7
6
Corner Kicks
7
2
Offsides
6
13
Fouls
11
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
1
Yellow Cards
4
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1

⏱ Match events

18 · 3 – 0
23'
▮
Nobel Mendy
Yellow Card
32'
▮
Florian Lejeune
Yellow Card
V. Muriqi
Assist · Samu Costa · 1–0
⚽
36'
V. Muriqi
Assist · Z. Luvumbo · 2–0
⚽
40'
Half-time · 2 – 0
46'
⇄
J. de Frutos ↓ · N. Mendy ↑
Substitution 1
46'
⇄
P. Ciss ↓ · O. Valentin ↑
Substitution 2
53'
▮
Randy Nteka
Yellow Card
J. Virgili ↓ · Z. Luvumbo ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
62'
65'
▮
Andrei Rațiu
Yellow Card
J. Virgili
Assist · P. Torre · 3–0
⚽
65'
67'
⇄
P. Chavarria ↓ · I. Akhomach ↑
Substitution 3
T. Asano ↓ · P. Torre ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
72'
M. Kumbulla ↓ · Samu Costa ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
72'
77'
⇄
S. Camello ↓ · A. Garcia ↑
Substitution 4
David López
Yellow Card
▮
80'
A. Prats ↓ · P. Maffeo ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
81'
A. Sanchez ↓ · M. Morlanes ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
81'
81'
⇄
Alemao ↓ · R. Nteka ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

Mallorca beat Rayo Vallecano 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 12, 3 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: V. Muriqi (36'), V. Muriqi (40'), J. Virgili (65').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.18 units (Brier 0.183).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.72 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.91 — 52% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.31 — 42% Cashed +1.31 Cashed
Home Win 2.57 — 37% Cashed +1.57 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.93 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.16 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.83 — 37% Cashed +0.83 Cashed
Away Win 3.10 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.57 — 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.44 — 64% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.07 — 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.42 — 68% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.25 — 78% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.09 — 89% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.35 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 8.50 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.35 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.18u −19% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
MAL – RAY @ 3.10
+12.6%
Edge
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