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Home Spain La Liga Real Sociedad — Oviedo

Predictions Real Sociedad vs Oviedo February 21, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
Home · last 5 L D D L D
Kick-off
Sat 21 Feb · 13:00
3:3
Full-time
Oviedo
Oviedo
L D L L L Away · last 5
Referee J. Munuera
Home Win · RSO
68%
Best 1.61
Draw
23%
Best 3.77
Away Win · OVI
9%
Best 7.03
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.70
Fair odds
3.30
book 3.70 · +12.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Medium
p 30% · EV +12.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (70%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 67.7%
Odds 1.56
Show model details
Implied probability 64.1%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 23.3%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 9%
Odds 8.14
Show model details
Implied probability 12.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 56.2%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 43.8%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 30.3%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 9.7%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 76.6%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.4%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 69.7%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 23.4%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 56.8%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 43.2%
Odds 2.13
Show model details
Implied probability 47%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 67.7%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 9%
Odds 6.13
Show model details
Implied probability 16.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 32.3%
Odds 2.68
Show model details
Implied probability 37.3%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 91%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
RSO – OVI @ 3.70
+12.1%
Edge
Forecast →