Match Real Sociedad vs Oviedo February 21, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 3.70 — +12.1% better than the market.

Real Sociedad holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, backed by a solid defensive record and a recent run of wins. Their offensive strength should challenge Oviedo’s less robust defense, while Oviedo’s struggles on the road and patchy form suggest a tough outing. Expect a controlled pace with Real Sociedad’s compact block limiting chances and likely keeping the scoreline modest.

Home defensive solidity vs away offensive limitations
Recent form favors Real Sociedad’s confidence
Moderate tempo hints at fewer high-scoring opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 3.70 ✗ Lost

AI 30% Implied 27% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

RSO 4-2-3-1 · OVI 4-2-3-1

RSO · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · OVI

10 Oyarzabal

Subs used · RSO

46'

Herrera ↑ ·

Turrientes ↓

53'

Oskarsson ↑ ·

Marin ↓

53'

Odriozola ↑ ·

Aramburu ↓

56'

Elustondo ↑

77'

Zakharyan ↑ ·

Gorrotxategi ↓

Subs used · OVI

76'

Cazorla ↑ ·

Reina ↓

76'

Fernandez ↑ ·

Hassan ↓

76'

Dendoncker ↑ ·

Sibo ↓

84'

Borbas ↑ ·

Vinas ↓

90+2'

Fores ↑ ·

Fonseca ↓

📊 Statistics

RSO 3 – 3 OVI

62%

Possession (%)

38%

2.00

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.68

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

75%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

19 · 3 – 3

Sergio Gómez

Yellow Card

▮

32'

Half-time · 0 – 0

Y. Herrera ↓ · B. Turrientes ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

50'

⚽

F. Vinas

Assist · H. Hassan · 0–1

52'

⚽

F. Vinas

0–2

O. Oskarsson ↓ · P. Marin ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

53'

A. Odriozola ↓ · J. Aramburu ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

53'

A. Elustondo ↓ ·

Substitution 4

⇄

56'

O. Oskarsson

Assist · S. Gomez · 1–2

⚽

64'

70'

▮

Kwasi Sibo

Yellow Card

76'

⇄

S. Cazorla ↓ · A. Reina ↑

Substitution 1

76'

⇄

T. Fernandez ↓ · H. Hassan ↑

Substitution 2

76'

⇄

L. Dendoncker ↓ · K. Sibo ↑

Substitution 3

A. Zakharyan ↓ · J. Gorrotxategi ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

77'

Brais Méndez

Yellow Card

▮

81'

84'

⇄

T. Borbas ↓ · F. Vinas ↑

Substitution 4

D. Caleta-Car

2–2

⚽

87'

O. Oskarsson

Assist · G. Guedes · 3–2

⚽

90'

⚽

E. Bailly

Assist · S. Cazorla · 3–3

90+2'

⇄

A. Fores ↓ · N. Fonseca ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 3 – 3

Match recap

Real Sociedad and Oviedo drew 3–3. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 85% of their passes. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: F. Vinas (50'), F. Vinas (52'), O. Oskarsson (64'), D. Caleta-Car (87'), O. Oskarsson (90'), E. Bailly (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.84 units (Brier 0.273).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.93	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.77	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.13	—	43%	Cashed	+1.13	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.02	—	44%	Cashed	+1.02	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.68	—	32%	Cashed	+1.68	Cashed
Home Win	1.56	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.70	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.12	—	91%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.15	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.35	—	77%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	90%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Draw	4.00	—	23%	Cashed	+3.00	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.32	—	70%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.50	—	23%	Cashed	+2.50	Cashed
Away Win	8.14	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	6.13	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+0.84u	+5% ROI