Match Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe January 2, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 2.23 — +14.2% better than the market.

Rayo Vallecano holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a modest home advantage, suggesting a competitive edge in this La Liga clash. Both sides show defensive solidity, but Rayo's better recent form and home momentum could tip the balance. Expect a cautious pace given the low odds on goals, with tactical discipline likely to limit clear chances.

Home side's pressing and compact block may frustrate Getafe's attack
Rayo's recent form shows resilience despite mixed results
Low goal expectation hints at a tight, tactical battle

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 2.23 ✗ Lost

AI 51% Implied 45% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

RAY 4-2-3-1 · GET 4-5-1

RAY · 4-2-3-1 4-5-1 · GET

10 Camello

Subs used · RAY

40'

Mendy ↑ ·

Felipe ↓

67'

Pacha ↑ ·

de Frutos ↓

67'

Perez ↑ ·

Camello ↓

81'

Diaz ↑ ·

Palazon ↓

81'

Gumbau ↑ ·

Lopez ↓

Subs used · GET

58'

Juanmi ↑ ·

Martin ↓

58'

Sancris ↑ ·

Iglesias ↓

67'

da Costa ↑ ·

Liso ↓

82'

Mestanza ↑ ·

Munoz ↓

82'

Joselu ↑

📊 Statistics

RAY 1 – 1 GET

60%

Possession (%)

40%

0.89

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.77

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

77%

Pass Accuracy (%)

64%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

19 · 1 – 1

36'

▮

Djené

Yellow Card

N. Mendy ↓ · Luiz Felipe ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

40'

J. de Frutos

Assist · U. Lopez · 1–0

⚽

45'

Half-time · 1 – 0

53'

▮

Juan Iglesias

Yellow Card

55'

▮

Domingos Duarte

Yellow Card

58'

⇄

Juanmi ↓ · M. Martin ↑

Substitution 1

58'

⇄

Alex Sancris ↓ · J. Iglesias ↑

Substitution 2

Pacha ↓ · J. de Frutos ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

67'

F. Perez ↓ · S. Camello ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

67'

⇄

C. da Costa ↓ · A. Liso ↑

Substitution 3

Unai López

Yellow Card

▮

72'

P. Diaz ↓ · I. Palazon ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

81'

G. Gumbau ↓ · U. Lopez ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

81'

82'

⇄

A. Mestanza ↓ · Javier Munoz ↑

Substitution 4

82'

⇄

Joselu ↓ ·

Substitution 5

Fran Pérez

Yellow Card

▮

90'

⚽

M. Arambarri

Assist · L. Milla · 1–1

Andrei Rațiu

Yellow Card

▮

90+2'

90+3'

▮

David Soria

Yellow Card

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Rayo Vallecano and Getafe drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 77% of their passes. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: J. de Frutos (45'), M. Arambarri (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.91 units (Brier 0.169).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.23	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.30	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.76	—	56%	Cashed	+0.76	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.67	—	35%	Cashed	+1.67	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.74	—	49%	Cashed	+0.74	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.26	—	81%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
BTTS No	1.55	—	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	2.99	—	30%	Cashed	+1.99	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.46	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.17	—	84%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Over 2.5	3.40	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.38	—	71%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.12	—	87%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Under 0.5	6.00	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	7.00	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.88	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.40	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.91u	−17% ROI