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Home Spain La Liga Girona — Atletico Madrid

Predictions Girona vs Atletico Madrid December 21, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Girona
Girona
Home · last 5 L D D L D
Kick-off
Sun 21 Dec · 13:00
0:3
Full-time
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
W L W W L Away · last 5
Estadio Municipal de Montilivi · Girona Referee Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla, Spain
Home Win · GIR
14%
Best 4.70
Draw
22%
Best 3.90
Away Win · ATM
64%
Best 1.75
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.33
Fair odds
3.88
book 4.33 · +11.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 26% · EV +11.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (74%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 63.7%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 22%
Odds 4.31
Show model details
Implied probability 23.2%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 14.3%
Odds 5.13
Show model details
Implied probability 19.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 50.5%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 49.6%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 25.8%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 71.8%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 28.2%
Odds 2.95
Show model details
Implied probability 33.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 7.6%
Odds 14.20
Show model details
Implied probability 7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.4%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 74.3%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 48.6%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.5%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 63.7%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 14.3%
Odds 3.83
Show model details
Implied probability 26.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 36.3%
Odds 2.33
Show model details
Implied probability 42.9%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 85.7%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
GIR – ATM @ 4.33
+11.5%
Edge
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