Match Sevilla vs Osasuna November 8, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 3.20 — +7.0% better than the market.

Sevilla vs Osasuna Preview

Sevilla holds a clear quality edge and a moderate home advantage, suggesting they can impose their game at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán. Despite recent mixed form, their attacking potential against Osasuna's leaky defense could create scoring chances. Osasuna’s compact defensive block and slightly better recent form hint at resilience, but Sevilla’s home momentum and pressing edge may tilt the balance.

Sevilla’s offensive pressure vs Osasuna’s defense
Home crowd support boosting Sevilla’s confidence
Osasuna’s recent form shows signs of fight but limited firepower

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 3.20 ✓ Cashed

AI 33% Implied 31% +2.20u

+220%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SEV 4-2-3-1 · OSA 4-2-3-1

SEV · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · OSA

9 Adams

Subs used · SEV

65'

Gudelj ↑ ·

Sow ↓

76'

Gonzalez ↑ ·

Peque ↓

86'

Bueno ↑ ·

Sanchez ↓

87'

Ejuke ↑ ·

Vargas ↓

Subs used · OSA

54'

Oroz ↑ ·

Barja ↓

70'

Becker ↑ ·

Garcia ↓

81'

Herrando ↑ ·

Boyomo ↓

📊 Statistics

SEV 1 – 0 OSA

47%

Possession (%)

53%

1.70

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.29

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 1 – 0

José Ángel Carmona

Yellow Card

▮

20'

21'

▮

Victor Muñoz

Yellow Card

Djibril Sow

Yellow Card

▮

28'

Tanguy Nianzou

Yellow Card

▮

45+1'

Half-time · 0 – 0

R. Vargas (P)

Penalty · 1–0

⚽

51'

54'

⇄

A. Oroz ↓ · K. Barja ↑

Substitution 1

61'

▮

Jon Moncayola

Yellow Card

N. Gudelj ↓ · D. Sow ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

65'

70'

⇄

S. Becker ↓ · R. Garcia ↑

Substitution 2

A. Gonzalez ↓ · Peque ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

76'

81'

⇄

J. Herrando ↓ · F. Boyomo ↑

Substitution 3

Gabriel Suazo

Yellow Card

▮

83'

M. Bueno ↓ · J. Sanchez ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

86'

C. Ejuke ↓ · R. Vargas ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

87'

Batista Mendy

Yellow Card

▮

90+2'

90+3'

▮

Iker Muñoz

Yellow Card

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Sevilla beat Osasuna 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: R. Vargas (51').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.61 units (Brier 0.153).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.26	—	53%	Cashed	+1.26	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.75	—	60%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
BTTS No	1.93	—	54%	Cashed	+0.93	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.25	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.96	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.73	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.58	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.20	—	33%	Cashed	+2.20	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.33	—	80%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.40	—	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.56	—	53%	Cashed	+0.56	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.27	—	80%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.00	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.09	—	89%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Draw	3.40	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.20	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.68	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.61u	−15% ROI