Match FC Winterthur vs FC Zurich May 2, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 2.18 — +13.2% better than the market.

FC Zurich enters this clash with a clear quality edge and a more robust defensive record, suggesting they can control the game tempo. Despite recent struggles for both sides, Zurich's away resilience and sharper attack against Winterthur's porous defense hint at a tactical upper hand. The home side's recent form and defensive frailties may invite pressure, favoring a cautious, low-scoring encounter.

Zurich's defensive solidity vs Winterthur's attack struggles
Home side's recent poor form and defensive lapses
Likely moderate pace with limited goal-scoring chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 2.18 ✗ Lost

AI 52% Implied 46% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

WIN 4-3-1-2 · ZUR 4-4-2

WIN · 4-3-1-2 4-4-2 · ZUR

17 Hunziker

📊 Statistics

WIN 2 – 2 ZUR

50%

Possession (%)

50%

1.82

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.85

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

72%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FC Winterthur and FC Zurich drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–1.

For accuracy, the visitors completed 80% of their passes. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.88 units (Brier 0.199).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.69	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.77	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.60	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.18	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.68	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.67	—	48%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.13	—	34%	Cashed	+1.13	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.20	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	21.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	6.00	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.40	—	76%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.48	—	54%	Cashed	+0.48	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.40	—	56%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Home Win	3.00	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	—	92%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Draw	3.90	—	24%	Cashed	+2.90	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.12	—	74%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.88u	−17% ROI