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Home Belgium Jupiler Pro League KVC Westerlo — Antwerp

Match KVC Westerlo vs Antwerp April 25, 2026 — Result and Stats

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
KVC Westerlo
KVC Westerlo
Home · last 5 D L W L L
Kick-off
Sat 25 Apr · 18:45
2:4
Full-time
Antwerp
Antwerp
L L L D W Away · last 5
Het Kuipje · Westerlo Referee Nicolas Laforge, Belgium
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 54% · book 2.05
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 49% · book 2.05
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 46% · book 2.15
Total goals
6
2 · 4
xG (open play)
0.77 – 3.92
Δ −3.15
Possession
35% – 65%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 2.05 — +10.8% better than the market.

KVC Westerlo shows a clear home edge with stronger overall quality and recent form momentum, making them favorites at Het Kuipje. Their solid defensive setup should challenge Antwerp’s less potent attack, while Westerlo’s sharper offense could exploit Antwerp’s defensive vulnerabilities. The match hints at a moderate pace with a balanced goal environment, favoring a controlled game with chances for the hosts.

  • Home momentum and superior adjusted strength
  • Defensive solidity vs away offensive struggles
  • Moderate tempo suggests tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 2.05 ✗ Lost
AI 54% Implied 49% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

WES 24 ANT
35%
Possession (%)
65%
0.77
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
3.92
10
Total Shots
20
4
Shots on Target
12
5
Shots off Target
4
4
Shots Inside Box
14
2
Corner Kicks
7
2
Offsides
8
11
Fouls
13
71%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
4
Yellow Cards
3
8
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Antwerp won 4–2 away at KVC Westerlo. At half-time it was 0–3.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 65% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 3.92 to 0.77. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 10, 12 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.91 units (Brier 0.286).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.05 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.05 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.15 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.76 51% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.62 54% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.70 46% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.48 21% Cashed +1.48 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.30 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.87 30% Cashed +1.87 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.51 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.90 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.38 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 92% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.22 75% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Draw 3.50 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 10.20 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.40 21% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −0.91u −5% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
WES – ANT @ 2.05
+10.8%
Edge
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