Match KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht April 18, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.44 — +5.2% better than the market.

KV Mechelen hosts Anderlecht in a tightly poised Jupiler Pro League clash. Despite Anderlecht's higher overall quality and sharper attack, Mechelen's home defense looks resilient, suggesting a tactical battle. Recent form slightly favors Mechelen, who have shown signs of home momentum, while Anderlecht's pressing edge could unlock chances.

Mechelen's compact block counters Anderlecht's offensive threat
Close form gap hints at a balanced contest
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.44 ✓ Cashed

AI 73% Implied 69% +0.44u

+44%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MEC 3-4-1-2 · AND 4-2-3-1

MEC · 3-4-1-2 4-2-3-1 · AND

28 Boersma

📊 Statistics

MEC 1 – 2 AND

46%

Possession (%)

54%

1.33

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.45

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

77%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Anderlecht won 2–1 away at KV Mechelen. At half-time it was 1–0.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 13, 5 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 10 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.13 units (Brier 0.134).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.45	—	48%	Cashed	+1.45	Cashed
BTTS No	2.30	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.15	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.78	—	52%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.65	—	55%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.80	—	48%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.60	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.11	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.44	—	73%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.45	—	70%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.85	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.90	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.30	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	93%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.25	—	76%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Draw	3.65	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.13u	−24% ROI