Match Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg April 12, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.80 — +9.6% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.80 ✗ Lost

AI 61% Implied 56% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

STU 3-4-2-1 · HAR 3-4-3

STU · 3-4-2-1 3-4-3 · HAR

20 Jatta

📊 Statistics

STU 0 – 0 HAR

61%

Possession (%)

39%

1.35

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.76

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

67%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Sturm Graz and TSV Hartberg drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 81% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.35 to 0.76. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 24 shots to 17, 1 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 5. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +8.62 units (Brier 0.277).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.86	—	62%	Cashed	+0.86	Cashed
BTTS No	1.95	—	59%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Home Win	1.80	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.07	—	39%	Cashed	+1.07	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.95	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.03	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.45	—	38%	Cashed	+2.45	Cashed
Under 0.5	10.00	—	14%	Cashed	+9.00	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.31	—	81%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.23	—	85%	Cashed	+0.23	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.30	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	86%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.75	—	24%	Cashed	+2.75	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.33	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.83	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.50	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.64	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+8.62u	+51% ROI