Match KV Mechelen vs Union St. Gilloise April 12, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 1.70 — +6.5% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 1.70 ✓ Cashed

AI 63% Implied 59% +0.70u

+70%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MEC 3-4-3 · GIL 3-4-1-2

MEC · 3-4-3 3-4-1-2 · GIL

9 Brederode

📊 Statistics

MEC 0 – 1 GIL

56%

Possession (%)

44%

0.36

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.74

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Union St. Gilloise won 1–0 away at KV Mechelen. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.74 to 0.36. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 4, 8 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.42 units (Brier 0.171).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.70	—	63%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.96	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.00	—	49%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.88	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.00	—	48%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.20	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.20	—	86%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.28	—	63%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.32	—	75%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	92%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.95	—	25%	Cashed	+2.95	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.38	—	71%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.31	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.91	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	5.01	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	3.76	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.42u	−14% ROI

Match KV Mechelen vs Union St. Gilloise April 12, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Away Win at 1.70 — +6.5% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled