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Home Switzerland Super League FC Thun — FC Basel 1893

Predictions FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893 April 18, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Switzerland   /   Super League Value pick inside
FC Thun
FC Thun
Home · last 5 L L L L D
Kick-off
Sat 18 Apr · 18:30
3:1
Full-time
FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893
L W L L L Away · last 5
Stockhorn Arena · Thun Referee Mirel Turkes, Switzerland
Home Win · THU
61%
Best 1.81
Draw
22%
Best 3.98
Away Win · BAS
18%
Best 3.80
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 7.00
Fair odds
6.39
book 7.00 · +9.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 16% · EV +9.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (84%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 60.7%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 21.5%
Odds 4.30
Show model details
Implied probability 23.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 17.9%
Odds 3.96
Show model details
Implied probability 25.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 56.5%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 43.5%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 35.1%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 64.9%
Odds 1.41
Show model details
Implied probability 70.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 15.7%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 84.3%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 36.5%
Odds 2.91
Show model details
Implied probability 34.4%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 63.5%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 60.7%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 17.9%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 39.4%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 82.1%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
THU – BAS @ 7.00
+9.6%
Edge
Forecast →