Match FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893 April 18, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 7.00 — +9.6% better than the market.

FC Thun arrives with a clear quality edge and home momentum, boasting a stronger attack against Basel's defense. Their recent form shows resilience, while Basel's away struggles and lower offensive threat suggest a challenging outing. The match hints at a moderate tempo with potential for goals, supported by Thun's pressing edge and set-piece threat.

Home advantage with a solid defensive base
Thun's attack likely to exploit Basel's defensive gaps
Moderate pace favors home side's control

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 7.00 ✗ Lost

AI 16% Implied 14% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

THU 4-2-2-2 · BAS 4-2-3-1

THU · 4-2-2-2 4-2-3-1 · BAS

74 Rastoder

📊 Statistics

THU 3 – 1 BAS

41%

Possession (%)

59%

1.72

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.49

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

76%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FC Thun beat FC Basel 1893 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 59% of the ball. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 5. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -4.59 units (Brier 0.120).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.78	—	61%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.91	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.02	—	44%	Cashed	+1.02	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.07	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	3.10	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.91	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.28	—	82%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.41	—	65%	Cashed	+0.41	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.42	—	64%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.38	—	61%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Under 1.5	7.00	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.12	—	84%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Draw	4.30	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.10	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.96	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−4.59u	−31% ROI