Match KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi April 5, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.55 — +10.3% better than the market.

KVC Westerlo hosts Charleroi in a clash where the visitors hold a slight quality edge, but Westerlo’s home form and defensive solidity offer a balanced contest. Westerlo’s recent momentum with wins and draws contrasts Charleroi’s struggles, suggesting a tight game with tactical discipline.

Westerlo’s compact defense may stifle Charleroi’s moderate attack.
Charleroi’s pressing could test Westerlo’s buildup.
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play over open end-to-end action.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 2.55 ✓ Cashed

AI 43% Implied 39% +1.55u

+155%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

WES 4-2-3-1 · CHA 4-2-3-1

WES · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · CHA

90 Ferri

📊 Statistics

WES 2 – 0 CHA

53%

Possession (%)

47%

2.25

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.24

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

KVC Westerlo beat Charleroi 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.25 to 1.24. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 7, 5 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.47 units (Brier 0.213).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.55	—	43%	Cashed	+1.55	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.22	—	47%	Cashed	+1.22	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.70	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.02	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.63	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.63	—	30%	Cashed	+1.63	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.88	—	30%	Cashed	+0.88	Cashed
Away Win	2.85	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.53	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.52	—	68%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.64	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.57	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.46	—	57%	Cashed	+0.46	Cashed
Under 0.5	15.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	93%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.22	—	76%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Draw	3.50	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.47u	−15% ROI