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Home Denmark Superliga Viborg — FC Midtjylland

Match Viborg vs FC Midtjylland March 22, 2026 — Result and Stats

Denmark   /   Superliga Value pick inside
Viborg
Viborg
Home · last 5 L W D L L
Kick-off
Sun 22 Mar · 19:00
1:1
Full-time
FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
W D D D L Away · last 5
Energi Viborg Arena · Viborg Referee Michael Tykgaard, Denmark
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 54% · book 2.15
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 41% · book 2.45
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 42% · book 2.35
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
0.61 – 1.72
Δ −1.11
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.37 — +6.8% better than the market.

FC Midtjylland arrives with a clear quality edge, boasting a stronger overall profile and sharper attacking threat compared to Viborg. Despite Viborg's home momentum and recent unbeaten streak, Midtjylland's offensive firepower and defensive solidity suggest they can control the game.

  • Midtjylland's pressing and counter-attack could exploit Viborg's defensive gaps.
  • Viborg's home form shows resilience but may struggle to contain the visitors' pace.
  • Moderate goal expectations with a balanced tempo hinted by odds.

Expect a competitive clash where Midtjylland's quality and tactical edge might tip the balance, though Viborg's home spirit could keep it tight.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 1.37 ✓ Cashed
AI 78% Implied 73% +0.37u
+37%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

VIB 11 MID
49%
Possession (%)
51%
0.61
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.72
9
Total Shots
17
2
Shots on Target
4
4
Shots off Target
9
6
Shots Inside Box
8
5
Corner Kicks
6
6
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
20
63%
Pass Accuracy (%)
65%
2
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

Viborg and FC Midtjylland drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.72 to 0.61. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 9, 4 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.37 units (Brier 0.172).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.15 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.45 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.35 42% Cashed +1.35 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.67 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.63 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.60 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.75 46% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.43 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.37 78% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.53 64% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.57 59% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.90 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 94% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.22 80% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Draw 3.80 24% Cashed +2.80 Cashed
Under 0.5 15.00 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.30 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.37u −14% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
VIB – MID @ 1.37
+6.8%
Edge
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