Match Fenerbahçe vs Nottingham Forest February 19, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.10 — +10.0% better than the market.

Fenerbahce come in with stronger momentum and a clearer edge in how they control matches, while Nottingham Forest have been far less consistent and often end up defending for long stretches. The matchup points to the hosts spending more time in the better areas and generating the cleaner chances, with Forest needing a very disciplined, efficient display to stay fully in it. A competitive game is possible, but Fenerbahce are better placed to take the result, while the away side’s best path is to keep it tight and avoid giving up transitions.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 2.10 ✓ Cashed

AI 50% Implied 48% +1.10u

+110%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

FEN 4-2-3-1 · NOT 4-2-3-1

FEN · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · NOT

26 Cherif

📊 Statistics

FEN 0 – 3 NOT

57%

Possession (%)

43%

0.48

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.86

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Nottingham Forest won 3–0 away at Fenerbahçe. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.86 to 0.48. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 6, 7 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 10 to 3. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 12 graded markets, 7 landed and 5 missed, for a net +0.67 units (Brier 0.219).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

12 · 7 W · 5 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	2.00	—	48%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Home Win	2.38	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.10	—	50%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.07	—	93%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.32	—	76%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.94	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.34	—	72%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.76	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.40	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.65	—	55%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
Draw	3.56	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.19	—	30%	Cashed	+2.19	Cashed
Total · 12 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 5 L	+0.67u	+6% ROI

Match Fenerbahçe vs Nottingham Forest February 19, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks BTTS No at 2.10 — +10.0% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled