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Home England Premier League Nottingham Forest — Leeds

Preview Nottingham Forest vs Leeds August 22, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Home · last 5 W L D L D
Kick-off
Sat 22 Aug · 14:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Leeds
Leeds
D W D W L Away · last 5
Referee R. Jones
Home Win · NOT
42%
Best 2.37
Draw
27%
Best 3.48
Away Win · LEE
32%
Best 3.27

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 55% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

With limited recent form and strength data, this Premier League opener between Nottingham Forest and Leeds looks finely balanced. The even odds on over/under 2.5 goals suggest a moderate tempo, hinting at a tactical battle rather than a goal-fest. Nottingham Forest may leverage home familiarity, while Leeds could rely on counter-attacks and set-piece opportunities to challenge the home side's defense.

  • Home advantage could provide Nottingham Forest a slight edge in pressing and control.
  • Leeds might exploit transitions and aerial threats to unsettle the hosts.
  • Expect a cautious start with both sides probing for weaknesses.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 42% Nottingham Forest win
Over/Under 2.5 50% Over 2.5
BTTS 55% Yes
Double Chance 68% 1X
  • 1X2 Nottingham Forest win 42%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50%
  • BTTS Yes 55%
  • Double Chance 1X 68%
Open betting analysis

📈 Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Nottingham Forest
W/D/L 1-2-2
Goals (for / against) 7 / 10
Avg goals / match 3.4
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-2-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-2
xG (for / against) 1.53 / 2.25
Leeds
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 7 / 7
Avg goals / match 2.8
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-2-1
xG (for / against) 1.22 / 1.72

🎯 Scenario insights

Nottingham Forest wins when scoring first
50%
Leeds wins when scoring first
100%
Nottingham Forest BTTS rate · last 10
60%
Leeds BTTS rate · last 10
40%
Nottingham Forest Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Leeds Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Nottingham Forest comeback rate · last 10
33%
Leeds comeback rate · last 10

🔥 Goal timing

Nottingham Forest · last 10 at home

0–15 13%
16–30 0%
31–45 25%
46–60 0%
61–75 25%
76–90 37%

Leeds · last 10 away

0–15 9%
16–30 18%
31–45 27%
46–60 0%
61–75 27%
76–90 18%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.